Casino

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Revision as of 00:33, 5 May 2014 by Xhamon (talk | contribs) (Added statistical analysis)
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The Casino is located in the north east section of Ardan.

It has two shops and four games you can play.

Combat Merchant

Item Price (tokens)
The Golden Orb 5000
Gambler's Pouch 7500
Metal Slime Shield 7500
Meteorite Armband 7500
Mage Slime Robes 10000
Metal Slime Armor 10000

Miscellaneous Merchant

Item Price (tokens)
Plus Gold Seed 600
Plus Exp. Seed 600
Plus Item Seed 700
Seed Cleaner 1000
Red Candle 1500
Midnight Dye 2000
Recall Crystal 4000

Games

At the Casino you can play the following games:

  • Five Card Draw - May bet up to 100 tokens (expected return of 102.69%)
  • Joker Poker - Same as Five Card Draw except with jokers as wilds (expected return of 88.36%)
  • Slime Races - 650 gold to place a bet, races go every 10 minutes, 300 token reward. (expected return of 10.83 gold/token)
  • Monster Arena - 500 gold to play. Bet on the NPC who will win the free-for-all fight.

If you have less than 300 tokens you may buy tokens for 10 gold each. However, the only way to go over 300 tokens is to play games.

Statistical Analysis

In the real world, the kind of single-player poker that is present in NEStalgia is called "Video Poker". Analyzing probabilities of Video Poker is extremely complex because of the strategy involved; first, there are the probabilities of getting each hand, then there are the probabilities of getting each hand after the second draw and those depends on what the player has after the first draw and what he does at this point. Here we assume that the player always does what would maximize his return expectancy for the second draw; the "optimal strategy". Again, this is very complex. Fortunately, we have access to simulating tools made by professional statisticians at wizardofodds.com. The first tool is the optimal strategy calculator. You may use this one to actually see what the optimal strategy is for each game. The second tool is the video poker analyzer. Assuming optimal strategy from the player and equiprobable randomness by NEStalgia's random number generator, here are the results for both poker games:

Video Poker Calculator – Standard Video Poker – Jacks or Better
Hand Prize Combinations Probability Variance Return
Royal Flush 500 32,331,042 0.000019 4.845935 0.009732
Straight Flush 60 184,772,685 0.000111 0.386856 0.006674
Four of a Kind 25 3,864,249,137 0.002326 1.336960 0.058158
Full House 10 18,776,318,733 0.011304 0.910128 0.113035
Flush 7 24,339,963,588 0.014653 0.522791 0.102570
Straight 5 24,696,797,325 0.014868 0.234699 0.074339
Three of a Kind 3 119,916,242,897 0.072191 0.281058 0.216572
Two Pair 2 207,465,454,449 0.124896 0.118276 0.249792
Jacks or Better 1 325,562,908,980 0.195992 0.000141 0.195992
Nothing 0 936,263,504,264 0.563640 0.594331 0.000000
Totals 1,661,102,543,100 1.000000 9.231174 1.026865
Video Poker Calculator – Standard Video Poker – Joker Poker (Two Pair)
Hand Prize Combinations Probability Variance Return
Natural Royal Flush 65 26,185,683 0.000013 0.052577 0.000831
Five of a Kind 100 187,477,796 0.000092 0.899574 0.009157
Wild Royal Flush 65 136,454,793 0.000067 0.273982 0.004332
Straight Flush 45 1,162,389,507 0.000568 1.104962 0.025548
Four of a Kind 18 16,827,952,064 0.008219 2.407967 0.147945
Full House 8 30,925,591,389 0.015105 0.764946 0.120838
Flush 5 43,704,587,067 0.021346 0.361702 0.106732
Straight 4 57,705,283,510 0.028185 0.273721 0.112738
Three of a Kind 2 256,190,230,637 0.125129 0.155945 0.250258
Two Pair 1 215,499,988,143 0.105255 0.001425 0.105255
Nothing 0 1,425,039,319,511 0.696022 0.543462 0.000000
Totals 2,047,405,460,100 1.000000 6.840262 0.883635